FRONTIERS is a research circle exploring the scientific foundations of human behavioural forecasting. We are a small, interdisciplinary peer group meeting monthly in London, asking what it would actually take to model, forecast, and navigate human behaviour across contexts, timescales, and populations.

Our north star is Psychohistory: the proposition that large-scale human behaviour is probabilistically forecastable, and that this knowledge can be used to navigate the future. Concretely, this means building foundations for forecasting behaviour across populations, modelling the effect of interventions before making them, and supporting better collective decision-making under uncertainty.

The group spans causal inference, decision theory, cognitive and behavioural science, forecasting, human-computer interaction, and data infrastructure. We are deliberately small to build a high-trust environment where every voice counts. If you are working at the intersection of these fields and want to be involved, email us. We would love to hear from you.